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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 2
Ballymena

Warde (28')
Warde (59'), Wilson (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCartan (41'), Redman (83')
Hume (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ballymena United in this match.

Result
PortadownDrawBallymena United
27.07%23.63%49.29%
Both teams to score 58.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8%43.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4%65.6%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68%29.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7%65.29%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73%48.27%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 27.07%
    Ballymena United 49.29%
    Draw 23.63%
PortadownDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 6.76%
1-0 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.78%
1-3 @ 5.52%
0-3 @ 4.5%
2-3 @ 3.39%
1-4 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.29%

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