Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.