Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.