Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 46%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
