Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
