Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.