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Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2023 at 11am UK
AAMI Park
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Canada Women
0 - 4
Australia Women

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Raso (9', 39'), Fowler (58'), Catley (90+4' pen.)
Gustavsson (45+5'), van Egmond (68'), Arnold (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Canada Women 2-1 Ireland Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 1pm in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Australia Women 2-3 Nigeria Women
Thursday, July 27 at 11am in Women's World Cup

We said: Canada Women 1-2 Australia Women

Australia will be determined to avoid a group-stage exit at their own tournament, and with Kerr set to return to the fold, we think that the Matildas will have the firepower required to claim a crucial victory in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 5.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.19%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.56%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.

Result
Canada WomenDrawAustralia Women
82.91% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01) 11.68% (0.041 0.04) 5.41% (-0.0351 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.53% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38% (-0.435 -0.44)33.62% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57% (-0.497 -0.5)55.43% (0.494 0.49)
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.02% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)5.98% (0.0849 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.17% (-0.244 -0.24)22.83% (0.242 0.24)
Australia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.23% (-0.457 -0.46)54.77% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.26% (-0.274 -0.27)87.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Canada Women 82.9%
    Australia Women 5.41%
    Draw 11.68%
Canada WomenDrawAustralia Women
2-0 @ 12.99% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 12.19% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.162 0.16)
4-0 @ 8.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 5.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.03 -0.03)
7-0 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 82.9%
1-1 @ 5.56% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 11.68%
0-1 @ 1.97% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 5.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Canada Women 2-1 Ireland Women
Wednesday, July 26 at 1pm in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Canada Women 0-3 Japan Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Brazil Women 0-2 Canada Women
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Canada Women
Friday, February 17 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 1-1 Canada Women (2-3 pen.)
Friday, August 6 at 1pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 2-3 Nigeria Women
Thursday, July 27 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Australia Women 1-0 Ireland Women
Thursday, July 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: England Women 0-2 Australia Women
Tuesday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Women's Football Friendlies
Last Game: Australia Women 3-4 USA Women
Thursday, August 5 at 9am in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 0-1 Sweden Women
Monday, August 2 at 12pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: GB Women 3-4 Australia Women
Friday, July 30 at 10am in Olympic Games Women's Football


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