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Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
HBF Park
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Canada Women
2 - 1
Ireland Women

Connolly (45+5' og.), Leon (53')
Buchanan (36'), Gilles (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCabe (4')
McCabe (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Australia Women 1-0 Ireland Women
Thursday, July 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup

We said: Canada Women 2-1 Ireland Women

After competing with Australia on matchday one, we expect Ireland to run the Canucks close, but we believe that Canada's extra quality will help them claim all three points in Perth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 67.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ireland Women had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Ireland Women win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Canada Women.

Result
Canada WomenDrawIreland Women
67.09% (0.24199999999999 0.24) 18.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 14.31% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (0.146 0.15)38.03% (-0.145 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.71% (0.156 0.16)60.29% (-0.155 -0.16)
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.54% (0.102 0.1)10.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.92% (0.23100000000001 0.23)34.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
Ireland Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (-0.103 -0.1)39.03% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (-0.099 -0.1)75.75% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Canada Women 67.08%
    Ireland Women 14.31%
    Draw 18.6%
Canada WomenDrawIreland Women
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.83% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.37% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 67.08%
1-1 @ 8.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.6%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Canada Women 0-3 Japan Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Brazil Women 0-2 Canada Women
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-0 Canada Women
Friday, February 17 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 1-1 Canada Women (2-3 pen.)
Friday, August 6 at 1pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: USA Women 0-1 Canada Women
Monday, August 2 at 9am in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 1-0 Ireland Women
Thursday, July 20 at 11am in Women's World Cup


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