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Olympic Games Women's Football | Quarter-Finals
Jul 30, 2021 at 11am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
JN

Sweden Women
3 - 1
Japan Women

Ericsson (7'), Blackstenius (53'), Asllani (68' pen.)
Ilestedt (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tanaka (23')
Miura (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Japan Women had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Japan Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden WomenDrawJapan Women
49.26%24.96%25.78%
Both teams to score 52.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.07%49.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.08%71.91%
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.65%
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1%33.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43%70.56%
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 49.25%
    Japan Women 25.78%
    Draw 24.95%
Sweden WomenDrawJapan Women
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 49.25%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.85%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.78%

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