Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Japan Women had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Japan Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.
