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Olympic Games Men's Football | Quarter-Finals
Jul 31, 2021 at 10am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Japan U23s
0 - 0
N.Zealand U23s

Japan U23s win 4-2 on penalties

Tomiyasu (89'), Miyoshi (114')
FT
(aet)

Bell (19'), Stensness (55'), Garbett (64'), Cacace (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a New Zealand Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.36%).

Result
Japan Under-23sDrawNew Zealand Under-23s
54.89%23.5%21.61%
Both teams to score 52.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17%47.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98%70.01%
Japan Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.7%17.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.35%47.64%
New Zealand Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73%73.27%
Score Analysis
    Japan Under-23s 54.89%
    New Zealand Under-23s 21.61%
    Draw 23.49%
Japan Under-23sDrawNew Zealand Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.71%
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.49%
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.36%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 21.61%

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