Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.
