MX23RW : Saturday, April 20 06:13:29
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Olympic Games Men's Football | Semi-Finals
Aug 3, 2021 at 9am UK
 

Mexico U23s
0 - 0
Brazil U23s

Brazil U23s win 4-1 on penalties

Montes (40'), Lainez (74'), Lorona (76'), Romo (105')
FT

Carlos (37'), Antony (64'), Guimaraes (72'), Jesus (76'), Luiz (108')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Brazil Under-23s had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brazil Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Mexico Under-23sDrawBrazil Under-23s
50.75%23.01%26.24%
Both teams to score 59.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.98%41.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.59%63.41%
Mexico Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.7%16.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.13%45.87%
Brazil Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2%28.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.35%64.65%
Score Analysis
    Mexico Under-23s 50.75%
    Brazil Under-23s 26.24%
    Draw 23.01%
Mexico Under-23sDrawBrazil Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.64%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.75%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 6.6%
0-1 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 26.24%

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