SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt Under-23s win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.68%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain Under-23s | Draw | Egypt Under-23s |
19.19% ( 0.13) | 23.21% ( 0.11) | 57.59% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 49.76% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( -0.26) | 49.67% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.23) | 71.69% ( 0.23) |
| Spain Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( -0) | 40.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( -0) | 76.7% ( -0) |
| Egypt Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( -0.18) | 17% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( -0.32) | 47.11% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain Under-23s | Draw | Egypt Under-23s |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.19% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.68% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 57.58% |
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