Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Stal Mielec |
53.59% ( 0.1) | 23.04% ( -0.03) | 23.37% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.11% ( 0.05) | 43.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.72% ( 0.05) | 66.27% ( -0.05) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.66% ( 0.05) | 16.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.07% ( 0.1) | 45.93% ( -0.1) |
Stal Mielec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.34% ( -0.04) | 32.66% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.79% ( -0.04) | 69.21% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Stal Mielec |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 53.59% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.37% |
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