Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Shkurin (35'), Matras (48'), Gerstenstein (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nene (12'),
Pululu (75')
Skrzypczak (63'), Nguiamba (74')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
27.07% ( -0.3) | 23.44% ( -0.05) | 49.48% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.85% ( -0.08) |
| 57.67% ( 0.01) | 42.33% ( -0.01) |
| 35.26% ( 0.01) | 64.73% ( -0.01) |
| 71.13% ( -0.21) | 28.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.26% ( -0.27) | 64.74% ( 0.27) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 82.74% ( 0.14) | 17.25% ( -0.14) |
