Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Shkurin (39')
Getinger (3'), Kieres (4'), Esselink (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Legia Warsaw.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
24.51% ( -0.07) | 25.08% ( 0.01) | 50.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.11) |
| 48.57% ( -0.11) | 51.42% ( 0.11) |
| 26.76% ( -0.1) | 73.24% ( 0.1) |
| 64.21% ( -0.12) | 35.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.12) | 72.57% ( 0.13) |
| 79.59% ( -0.02) | 20.41% ( 0.02) |
