SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
24.51% ( -0.07) | 25.08% ( 0.01) | 50.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.11) | 51.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.1) | 73.24% ( 0.1) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.12) | 35.79% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( -0.12) | 72.57% ( 0.13) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.02) | 20.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( -0.03) | 52.84% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.51% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 50.41% |
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