SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
48.16% ( -4.59) | 24.54% ( 0.9) | 27.3% ( 3.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.94% ( -0.77) | 47.06% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.7% ( -0.72) | 69.3% ( 0.72) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -2.09) | 19.6% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( -3.52) | 51.55% ( 3.53) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( 2.61) | 31.17% ( -2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( 2.94) | 67.51% ( -2.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.87)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.52)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.48)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.99% Total : 48.16% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.69)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.67)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.3% |
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