SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
35.94% ( -0.47) | 25.74% ( 0.08) | 38.31% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.37) | 49.07% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.33) | 71.14% ( 0.33) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.45) | 26.44% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( -0.6) | 61.61% ( 0.59) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( 0.05) | 25.11% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.18% ( 0.06) | 59.81% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.31% |
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