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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Mlada Boleslav had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Mlada Boleslav win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
35.1% ( -0.05) | 24% ( 0.01) | 40.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -0.04) | 41.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.05) | 63.53% ( 0.05) |
| Mlada Boleslav Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.05) | 23.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( -0.07) | 57.13% ( 0.07) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 0) | 20.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.29% ( 0) | 52.71% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mlada Boleslav | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.1% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.91% |
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