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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
36.9% ( 0.9) | 24.99% ( -0.02) | 38.12% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( 0.15) | 45.6% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( 0.14) | 67.92% ( -0.13) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.56) | 24.29% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 0.79) | 58.67% ( -0.79) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.39) | 23.64% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.57) | 57.74% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.12% |
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