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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
56.37% ( -0.17) | 21.48% ( 0.03) | 22.15% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.06) | 38.14% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( 0.07) | 60.42% ( -0.06) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( -0.03) | 13.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( -0.06) | 40.42% ( 0.06) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.16) | 30.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.19) | 66.77% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.37% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 22.15% |
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