Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
-0.02) 
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