Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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