SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Stal Mielec |
60.39% ( -0.31) | 21.71% ( 0.21) | 17.9% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.72) | 45.26% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.69) | 67.6% ( 0.7) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% ( -0.33) | 14.54% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.42% ( -0.65) | 42.58% ( 0.65) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.3) | 38.93% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( -0.28) | 75.65% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 60.39% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.9% |
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