SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Korona Kielce |
35.03% ( 0.52) | 26.02% ( -0.11) | 38.96% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% ( 0.54) | 50.35% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.47) | 72.3% ( -0.47) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.58) | 27.6% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( 0.74) | 63.13% ( -0.73) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.02) | 25.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 0.03) | 60.14% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.96% |
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