SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
49.69% ( 0.01) | 23.72% ( -0) | 26.58% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.01) | 43.98% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% ( -0.01) | 66.36% ( 0) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.2% ( 0) | 17.8% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.48% ( 0) | 48.52% ( -0.01) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0.01) | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.01) | 66.24% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.58% |
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