SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Widzew Lodz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
38.71% ( -0.26) | 24.75% ( -0.07) | 36.54% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( 0.34) | 44.53% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( 0.33) | 66.9% ( -0.33) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.02) | 22.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( 0.03) | 56.6% ( -0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.33) | 24% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.75% ( 0.47) | 58.25% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.71% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 36.54% |
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