SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
34.81% ( 0.17) | 24.84% ( 0.04) | 40.35% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( -0.16) | 45.16% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.16) | 67.5% ( 0.15) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( 0.02) | 25.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( 0.03) | 60.01% ( -0.03) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( -0.17) | 22.32% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( -0.26) | 55.79% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.35% |
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