Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
52.39% ( 0.04) | 22.78% ( 0.27) | 24.83% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.94% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( -1.53) | 41.23% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.37% ( -1.57) | 63.63% ( 1.58) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( -0.53) | 15.8% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.04% ( -0.99) | 44.96% ( 0.99) |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( -1.06) | 30% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% ( -1.3) | 66.12% ( 1.3) |
Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.83% |
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