SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gornik Zabrze in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
40.41% ( -0.47) | 24.65% ( 0.11) | 34.94% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( -0.47) | 44.24% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.46) | 66.62% ( 0.45) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( -0.43) | 21.9% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.85% ( -0.66) | 55.15% ( 0.66) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.01) | 24.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -0.02) | 59.31% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.94% |
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