SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
31.18% ( 0.01) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 44.34% |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( 0.06) | 44.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( 0.06) | 66.94% ( -0.06) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.03) | 27.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.05) | 62.59% ( -0.05) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.02) | 20.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% ( 0.04) | 52.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.34% |
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