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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
40.75% ( -0.36) | 25.35% ( -0.03) | 33.9% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( 0.24) | 47.62% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( 0.22) | 69.82% ( -0.22) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.08) | 23.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( -0.11) | 57.09% ( 0.11) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( 0.36) | 26.97% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( 0.47) | 62.31% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.9% |
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