SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Katowice |
50.29% ( -0.14) | 24.65% ( 0.04) | 25.06% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.06) | 49.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.06) | 71.28% ( 0.06) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.08) | 19.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( -0.13) | 51.51% ( 0.13) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( 0.05) | 34.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( 0.05) | 70.81% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Katowice |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0)3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.06% |
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