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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
3 - 1
LKS Lodz

Ishak (18', 44'), Velde (81')
Murawski (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Juric (64')
Mokrzycki (2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and LKS Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawLKS Lodz
60.19% (0.261 0.26) 21.56% (-0.167 -0.17) 18.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.363 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (0.571 0.57)44.1% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (0.55399999999999 0.55)66.48% (-0.55500000000001 -0.56)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.26900000000001 0.27)14.23% (-0.271 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.524 0.52)41.97% (-0.524 -0.52)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (0.227 0.23)37.85% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (0.219 0.22)74.63% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 60.18%
    LKS Lodz 18.25%
    Draw 21.56%
Lech PoznanDrawLKS Lodz
1-0 @ 10.5% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 60.18%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.56%
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.25%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, October 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Rakow
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-1 Gornik
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, October 7 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 2-2 Jagiellonia
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 LKS Lodz
Saturday, September 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Warta Poznan
Friday, September 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, August 26 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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