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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Lechia Gdansk win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
54.62% ( -0.18) | 23.54% ( 0.11) | 21.84% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.36) | 47.73% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.33) | 69.92% ( 0.33) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.64% ( -0.2) | 17.36% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.25% ( -0.35) | 47.75% ( 0.35) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.13) | 36.2% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( -0.13) | 72.98% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.84% |
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