SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
42.72% ( 0.11) | 22.48% ( -0.07) | 34.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.9% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.33) | 33.64% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.38) | 55.45% ( -0.38) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( 0.17) | 16.46% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( 0.32) | 46.15% ( -0.32) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( 0.13) | 19.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.94% ( 0.22) | 52.07% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.81% |
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