SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zaglebie Lubin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
38.7% ( 0.89) | 26.61% ( -0.16) | 34.69% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.57) | 52.88% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.48) | 74.49% ( -0.48) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 0.77) | 26.66% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( 1.01) | 61.91% ( -1.01) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.18) | 29.03% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( -0.22) | 64.93% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.69% |
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