Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Korona Kielce | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
31.75% ( 0.28) | 25.79% ( -0.01) | 42.46% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% ( 0.14) | 50.12% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% ( 0.12) | 72.08% ( -0.12) |
Korona Kielce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( 0.26) | 29.56% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( 0.31) | 65.59% ( -0.31) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.07) | 23.45% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% ( -0.11) | 57.45% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Korona Kielce | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.75% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.46% |
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