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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Velde (37'), Marchwinski (40')
Velde (44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Domanski (23')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, September 18 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawStal Mielec
64.44% (0.0010000000000048 0) 20.48% (0.0019999999999989 0) 15.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 50.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)67.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.78%13.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.97% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)42.32% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 64.44%
    Stal Mielec 15.08%
    Draw 20.48%
Lech PoznanDrawStal Mielec
2-0 @ 11.45%
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85%
3-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 64.44%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.48%
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.19%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 15.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-1 Gornik
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 3-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 17 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Monday, September 18 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Stal Mielec
Friday, September 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Friday, August 25 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 2-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, August 19 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, August 12 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Stal Mielec
Monday, August 7 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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