SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Stal Mielec |
65.95% ( 0.13) | 19.19% ( -0.05) | 14.86% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.06) | 39.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.05% ( 0.06) | 61.95% ( -0.06) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( 0.05) | 11.2% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.29% ( 0.11) | 35.71% ( -0.11) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( -0.06) | 39.29% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( -0.06) | 76% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.86% |
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