SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Korona Kielce |
49.8% ( -0.31) | 25.42% ( 0.1) | 24.77% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( -0.25) | 52.56% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.22) | 74.22% ( 0.21) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.23) | 21.12% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( -0.36) | 53.96% ( 0.36) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( 0.04) | 36.18% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% ( 0.04) | 72.97% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.8% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 24.77% |
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