SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.79% ( -0.61) | 23.72% ( 0.05) | 31.48% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( 0.02) | 40.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.64% ( 0.02) | 63.36% ( -0.02) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( -0.24) | 18.57% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( -0.41) | 49.84% ( 0.42) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0.36) | 25.23% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( 0.49) | 59.97% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Widzew Lodz | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.48% |
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