Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Lech Poznan |
62.19% ( 0.2) | 20.9% ( -0.04) | 16.91% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.59% ( -0.12) | 43.4% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.2% ( -0.11) | 65.8% ( 0.12) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.6% ( 0.02) | 13.4% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.67% ( 0.04) | 40.32% ( -0.04) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61% ( -0.26) | 39% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.28% ( -0.25) | 75.72% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Lech Poznan |
2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 16.91% |
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