SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Everton Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
62.63% ( 0.05) | 19.17% ( 0.03) | 18.2% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.12% ( -0.29) | 32.88% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.34) | 54.58% ( 0.34) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.89% ( -0.07) | 10.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.72% ( -0.16) | 33.28% ( 0.16) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.26) | 31.17% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.49% ( -0.31) | 67.51% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.66% 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 62.63% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 18.2% |
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