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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 37.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
39.79% ( 0.18) | 22.24% ( -0.03) | 37.97% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 68.4% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0.18) | 31.89% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.56% ( 0.2) | 53.44% ( -0.2) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.15) | 16.91% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( 0.26) | 46.96% ( -0.26) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( 0.02) | 17.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( 0.02) | 48.31% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.97% |
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