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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 3-1 (5.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
47.38% ( 0.53) | 21.83% ( -0.09) | 30.78% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 67.56% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.19) | 32.06% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.36% ( 0.22) | 53.64% ( -0.23) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.25) | 14.17% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( 0.49) | 41.85% ( -0.49) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( -0.16) | 21.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( -0.24) | 54.22% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 30.78% |
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