Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 1-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-23s would win this match.