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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.21%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
22.79% ( 0.02) | 20.91% ( 0.41) | 56.3% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 63.16% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.43% ( -2) | 34.56% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.5% ( -2.27) | 56.5% ( 2.27) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -1.11) | 27.99% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -1.44) | 63.63% ( 1.43) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.7% ( -0.76) | 12.29% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.94% ( -1.62) | 38.06% ( 1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 22.79% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.33)0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.18)1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.3% |
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