SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
15.63% ( 0.13) | 17.36% ( 0.1) | 67% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 63.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.2) | 28.81% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.25% ( -0.25) | 49.75% ( 0.25) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.02) | 31.36% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.28% ( 0.02) | 67.72% ( -0.02) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( -0.1) | 8.01% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.77% ( -0.25) | 28.23% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 15.63% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.36% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 4.93% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 67% |
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