SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
45.71% ( 0.34) | 21.78% ( -0.07) | 32.5% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 68.73% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.09% ( 0.21) | 30.91% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.71% ( 0.25) | 52.28% ( -0.25) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 0.2) | 14.3% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.89% ( 0.39) | 42.1% ( -0.39) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( -0.04) | 19.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( -0.06) | 51.87% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Arsenal Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.71% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.5% |
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